Boxing betting: It's will end by KO, but figuring out if it's Anthony Joshua or Daniel Dubois who wins is hard part (boxing)
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Boxing betting: It's will end by KO, but figuring out if it's Anthony Joshua or Daniel Dubois who wins is hard part

Mark Robinson/Matchroom
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Daniel Dubois, the IBF heavyweight champion, and Anthony Joshua, the former unified champion, have all the skills and physical attributes a trainer could want if he was designing an elite heavyweight.

Both are large -- Dubois is 6-foot-5, with a 78-inch reach while Joshua is 6-6 with an 82-inch reach -- and mobile. Both have jabs that are like power punches. Each has knockout power in both hands.

They share one common weakness, though, that makes picking a winner almost an exercise in futility but should make it a highly entertaining fight: Neither is known for the strength of their chins. That vulnerability will make the fight exceptionally fun to watch, but will leave you with a knot in your stomach until it's over.

At DraftKings sportsbook, Joshua is a significant favorite to win and become a three-time heavyweight champion of the world. He is -425 while Dubois is +320. The over-under is 7.5 rounds, with it being -115 either way. Joshua by KO is -235 while Dubois by KO is +475. By decision, Joshua is +550 and Dubois is +1200. 

Combined, they've fought 54 fights as a pro. Joshua is 28-3 and Dubois is 21-2. Of those 54 fights, 51 have ended inside the distance. Joshua has 25 KOs among his 28 wins and was stopped once, by Andy Ruiz in 2019. Dubois has 20 KOs in his 21 wins and both of his losses were by stoppage. 

This is a fight which could see both men on the canvas, which is troublesome from a betting perspective. Which one of the punches is going to have the most impact? It's hard to guess.

Joshua has faced the better competition and has KOs of Wladimir Klitschko and Alexander Povetkin, both Olympic gold medal winners, on his resume. Joshua finished Kevin Johnson in two and Johnson lasted the 10-round distance with Dubois.

Both fighters to be knocked down is +240, so I'm going to lay a unit on that. Dubois fights hard when hurt, though he's never been hit by anyone with the soul-crushing power that Joshua possesses. That makes it a difficult proposition, but I would imagine this is going to be a bombs away fight, similar to the type that Klitschko and Joshua staged on April 29, 2017, in Wembley.

Dubois is -130 to be knocked down in Rounds 1 through 6, so I will play two units on that. I don't think there's going to be a long feeling out process, and I'm not expecting a lot fight. So laying $1.30 is a small price given I believe Dubois for sure will go down.

I hate to be so specialized, but I find it impossible to believe that the fight is going the distance. Since I think Joshua is the more likely of the two to win, I'll lay the $2.35 and take Joshua to win by KO. 

IBF heavyweight champion Daniel Dubois brings a 21-2 record with 20 KOs into his title defense against Anthony Joshua on Saturday at Wembley Stadium in London.

Mark Robinson/Matchroom

IBF heavyweight champion Daniel Dubois brings a 21-2 record with 20 KOs into his title defense against Anthony Joshua on Saturday at Wembley Stadium in London.




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